The Vacation Put
As one of our team said, “The Quast Vacation Put strikes again.” Wearing puka shells and vacation pants, we split March 25 for the trade winds of St Vincent and the Grenadines to sail the following seas. And the stock…
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Minute Twenty-Seven
Long ago, I saw a band called Mars Volta, which opened for Incubus in Sacramento. Boy, I’ve dated myself now. Incubus was awesome, Brandon Boyd writhing on the stage and telling us to take the wheel and drive. Mars Volta…
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The Pattern
I’ll give you a high statistical probability. The stock market this week won’t reflect “fundamentals.” Quast, you’re obsessed with your own view that the market is quantitative. No, it’s what we call “context.” The cadence and calendar of the market:…
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Rising Bears
Tariffs don’t just – boom! Rock the market. There must be a condition precedent. We’ve seen it before with the Federal Reserve. The Fed says, “We’re hiking rates.” Stocks crater. But behind the scenes, money had already moved. It happened…
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Aitch Eff Tee
It’s been a long time since the Flash Crash. So long in fact that heads of investor relations and chief investment officers of funds have come and gone in between. It was 15 years ago. The Flash Crash – an…
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Out of Stock
Some stocks are killing it. A bunch aren’t. Jon Sindreu at the Wall Street Journal called it an “Investing Riddle” (subscription required) that stocks in the market are in turmoil but the stock market isn’t. Yesterday, the S&P 500 closed…
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Everybody Loves Beta
Why do sellsiders cover beta? Quast, you’re like a Kendrick Lamar rap: inscrutable. Let me speak English. NVDA, the most widely held stock and a component of the Index Trifecta – Dow Jones Industrials, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 – is…
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Tariffs and Products
“Really? That’s all the time you spent?” I said,”Yessir. It doesn’t take long to pull weeds.” I think I was twelve. The mailman had suggested to Walker Fry, the richest guy in Huntington, Oregon, population 530, where I grew up…
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The Big Problem
DeepSeek would be a great name for a rock band. As would Rapeseed, an alternative offered by the helpful Whole Foods staff when I asked for canola oil. Canola so far as I know is unrelated to Nvidia, which is…
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Irrelevant Analysts
A headline at Bloomberg from Jan 13, 2025, reads: I was a Wall Street Analyst. They are Irrelevant. The article by opinion columnist Shuli Ren (subscription required), a former sellsider, describes factors reducing the value of sellside research. It’s one…
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