When Oil Swoons
How is it that stocks and oil fall if no one is selling them? There’s an answer. Tim Tebow once famously sent a one-word tweet: “Motivation.” For Tebow (Karen and I were downtown years ago when Tim was a Denver…
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Pricing Everything
As the colors of political persuasion in the USA ripple today, what matters in the equity market is what the money is doing. We measure Sentiment by company and sector and across the whole market daily. It’s not mass psychology.…
View pageBlocking Volatility
Boo! As the market raged high and low, so did Karen and I this week, from high in the Rockies where we saw John Denver’s fire in the sky over the Gore Range, down to Scottsdale and the Arizona desert’s…
View pageCounterparty Tuesday
Anybody hear yesterday’s volatility blamed on Counterparty Tuesday? Most pointed to earnings fears for why blue chips fell 500 points before clawing back. Yet last week the Dow Jones Industrial Average zoomed 540 points on earnings, we were told. We…
View pageReactively Passive
As stocks fell last week, pundits declared that interest rates and trade fears had shaken confidence. Yesterday as the Dow Jones Industrial Average zoomed 540 points, earnings, they declaimed, had brought investors rushing back. Oh, and easing trade tensions. Didn’t…
View pageUnsettling
Why is a paltry dab of trading volume showing up in settlement data? Those of you with furrowed brows wondering what I’m talking about, let me explain. Speaking of explication, I’ll be sharing our discoveries about exchange-traded funds with the…
View pageElectric Market Toothbrush
We were in Portugal and our electric toothbrush went haywire. It would randomly turn on in the night, and no amount of pressing the button would silence it. We abandoned it in Evora in the shadow of 2,000-year-old Roman aqueducts…
View pageAge of Discovery
Bom Dia! We returned Monday from Portugal after two fantastic weeks roaming and pedaling this land famed for its explorers. We stood at Cape St. Vincent, once the end of the known world where Vasco da Gama, Ferdinand Magellan and…
View pageBorrowed Time
“If a stock trades 500,000 shares daily,” said panelist Mark Flannery from hedge fund Point72 last Thursday on my market-structure panel, “and you’ve got 200,000 to buy or sell, you’d think ‘well that should work.’ It won’t. Those 500,000 shares…
View pageLab Knowledge
We are finally watching Breaking Bad five years after the most successful basic cable series in television history ended. It’s symbolic of the era that we’re viewing it via Netflix. And NFLX Market Structure Sentiment is bottomed, and shorts have…
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