I’ll give you a high statistical probability. The stock market this week won’t reflect “fundamentals.” Quast, you’re obsessed with your own view that the market is quantitative. No, it’s what we call “context.” The cadence and calendar of the market:…
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Tariffs don’t just – boom! Rock the market. There must be a condition precedent. We’ve seen it before with the Federal Reserve. The Fed says, “We’re hiking rates.” Stocks crater. But behind the scenes, money had already moved. It happened…
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It’s been a long time since the Flash Crash. So long in fact that heads of investor relations and chief investment officers of funds have come and gone in between. It was 15 years ago. The Flash Crash – an…
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Some stocks are killing it. A bunch aren’t. Jon Sindreu at the Wall Street Journal called it an “Investing Riddle” (subscription required) that stocks in the market are in turmoil but the stock market isn’t. Yesterday, the S&P 500 closed…
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Why do sellsiders cover beta? Quast, you’re like a Kendrick Lamar rap: inscrutable. Let me speak English. NVDA, the most widely held stock and a component of the Index Trifecta – Dow Jones Industrials, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 – is…
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“Really? That’s all the time you spent?” I said,”Yessir. It doesn’t take long to pull weeds.” I think I was twelve. The mailman had suggested to Walker Fry, the richest guy in Huntington, Oregon, population 530, where I grew up…
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DeepSeek would be a great name for a rock band. As would Rapeseed, an alternative offered by the helpful Whole Foods staff when I asked for canola oil. Canola so far as I know is unrelated to Nvidia, which is…
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A headline at Bloomberg from Jan 13, 2025, reads: I was a Wall Street Analyst. They are Irrelevant. The article by opinion columnist Shuli Ren (subscription required), a former sellsider, describes factors reducing the value of sellside research. It’s one…
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Public companies with traded shares need to stop selling horses and wagons to a stock market buying cars.
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We were in Nashville and Keith Urban wished us a happy new year. If you like country music, that’s a good start to 2025. More on that in a moment. It was December 18 when I last wrote. I talked…
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