The Market Structure Map
July 3, 2024
There’s a moat between haves and have-nots in the stock market. The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index that treats the 500 components the same is up 0.5% through yesterday versus Dec 31, 2021. Cumulative inflation over that time is 13%. So the equality index is...
June 26, 2024
Why are the Nasdaq and the Dow Jones Industrial Average diverging wildly? It might resolve in the next few days. But it’s not small. Back up to June 20 and performance was aligned. At one point Monday, five-day divergence was more than 4%. The DJIA...
June 19, 2024
One of our customers at EDGE calculated that 82% of Demand in the S&P 500 is from three stocks (NVDA – now the largest – AAPL, MSFT). Ramifications? Reminds me of what the former head of investor relations at United Health Group, John Penshorn, said...
June 5, 2024
Somebody pulled a pin and dropped a grenade in the stock market and nobody noticed. Let me explain: Now, there were explanations. Index options on the SPX expired at month-end as they do every last trading day of the month, and MSCI indices rebalanced. But...
May 8, 2024
Should a stock like COKE rise 20% in a day? Executives love it, sure. But it’s aberrant behavior at loggerheads with what the dominant money buys today. Here’s what I mean. COKE is a member of MDY, the Blackrock (iShares) S&P midcap 400 ETF, with...
January 24, 2024
If I said the name “Sherlock Holmes” to you, what’s your snap response? Probably, “Elementary, my dear Watson.” I have long favored a line by Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, written for his fictitious detective Sherlock Holmes. Eliminate the impossible and what remains, no matter how...